META TERMINAL
MARKETS42,384
ALERTS/24H47
MAX SPREAD9.2%
LAST QUOTE0s ago
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EventPolKalManChc%SprVolSigClsTAXFSIT
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates in Q1 2025?
economics
68.0¢
71.0¢
65.0¢
YES68%
3.2%
1.4M
C1
Will Bitcoin exceed $100k before April 2025?
crypto
44.0¢
41.0¢
46.0¢
YES44%
2.8%
890K
C1
Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
politics
82.0¢
--
79.0¢
YES81%
5.1%
3.2M
C2
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 by mid 2025?
technology
55.0¢
58.0¢
52.0¢
YES55%
1.9%
340K
C3
Will global temperature anomaly exceed 1.6°C in 2024?
climate
31.0¢
29.0¢
34.0¢
YES31%
4.4%
120K
C4
Will Ethereum ETF approval happen before March 2025?
crypto
73.0¢
76.0¢
70.0¢
YES73%
2.1%
670K
C1
Will US inflation drop below 2.5% by year end?
economics
48.0¢
51.0¢
45.0¢
YES48%
6.8%
520K
C5
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?
technology
22.0¢
--
19.0¢
YES21%
3.6%
180K
C3
Will Solana flip Ethereum by market cap?
crypto
14.0¢
12.0¢
17.0¢
YES14%
9.2%
290K
C1
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?
politics
39.0¢
42.0¢
36.0¢
YES39%
2.9%
440K
C2
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Alerts(4)
⚡ PRICE SPIKE2m ago
Federal Reserve rate cut Q1 2025
⚡ Price spike +12.3% on polymarket in 15min
⊿ SPREAD ANOMALY8m ago
US government shutdown 2025
⊿ Spread anomaly: 8.9% (threshold: 6%)
⚡ PRICE SPIKE14m ago
Solana flip Ethereum
⚡ Price spike -7.1% on manifold in 5min
⊿ SPREAD ANOMALY22m ago
Trump 2024 election win
⊿ Spread anomaly: 5.1% (threshold: 4.5%)
Insights(3)
✦ AI ANALYSIS4m ago
Federal Reserve rate cut Q1 2025
Strong upward momentum following CPI data release. Polymarket showing 68¢ vs consensus 69¢. Kalshi pricing at premium suggests institutional flow. Key resistance at 72¢.
✦ AI ANALYSIS18m ago
Bitcoin $100k before April
Market showing divergence between retail (Manifold) and professional venues. Polymarket volume spike indicates significant position building. ETF inflows remain key catalyst.
✦ AI ANALYSIS41m ago
OpenAI GPT-5 mid 2025
Probability stabilizing around 55¢ after initial volatility. Information asymmetry detected between Kalshi and Polymarket. Cluster #3 shows correlated movement with other AI markets.